Equity markets will not be happy with the advanced retail sales numbers but we have seen worse one month numbers. In fact, the negative retail sales in June of last year was double the current number. A close inspection of the retail numbers show that there are seldom back-to-back negative numbers. The trend is more important given these reversal fluctuations. The three month moving average is still positive but the trend is heading lower."Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views" focuses on current economic and finance issues, changes in market structure and the hedge fund industry as well as how to be a better decision-maker in the global macro investment space.
Tuesday, January 15, 2008
Market will not be happy with retail numbers
Equity markets will not be happy with the advanced retail sales numbers but we have seen worse one month numbers. In fact, the negative retail sales in June of last year was double the current number. A close inspection of the retail numbers show that there are seldom back-to-back negative numbers. The trend is more important given these reversal fluctuations. The three month moving average is still positive but the trend is heading lower.
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