Tuesday, September 8, 2026

The gold real rate change in sensitivity


There are supposed to be certain “rules” between market drivers and gold. Gold is supposed to hedge inflation. This relationship has proven mixed. A second relationship is linked to real rates. Since gold does not earn a return, investors should prefer an asset with a positive real return over gold. The longer-term relationship is negative, yet the last four years show a relationship in transition. Right now, there is a a much stronger link with real rates. 

Gold can be viewed as a meme asset that reflects investors’ fears. There may be an economic relationship, but the link is often unstable.

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