Sunday, February 24, 2013

Currency intervention - who is in and out?

The week has shown that there is an increase in active exchange rate intervention and talk about governments moving FX rates. This is just a short list but shows how the markets are being driven by active government action. The currency wars are being fought all over the world but not with the US.

  • Aussi Reserve Bank Governor Glenn Stevens - happy with interest rates - no intervention;
  • Swedish Riksbank Stefan Ingves - no problem with 16 year high on the trade weighted krona - no intervention, although the markets thinks this is a possible;
  • BOE policy maker David Miles - need more stimulus -  intervention through monetary policy;
  • Bank of Korea - too much appreciation versus yen - good chance of won intervention;
  • Philippine central bank -  may employ "appropriate macroprudential measures to address any financial stability pressures that could results from further surges in capital inflows; 
  • Peru Central bank intervening;
  • Thai baht - no intervention but talk about relative value versus rest of Asia;
  • Brazil - less direct intervention and fight of capital inflows but inflation fighting now underway - issue of whether exchange rates will be a tool in this inflation fight.


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