Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views

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Sunday, September 28, 2008

The cost of the bail-out will be massive

The cost of the bail-out will be massive as measured by the percent of GDP. The United States will be looking at close to 6% of GDP not including the Fannie and Freddie relief or the cost of the recent home owners bill which would total another $300 billion. This is also without the impact on potential GDP as the economy slows from its long-term growth of 3%.

On a relative basis, the cost of this bail-out will be cheap with the exception being Sweden which nationalized the banking system.If history is a guide, we can expect that the costs will keep rising. A $700 billion package may not be enough.
Posted by Mark Rzepczynski at 11:12:00 PM
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Labels: credit crisis

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About Me

Mark Rzepczynski
Mark has over 25 years of market experience on both the buy and sell side of the markets. He was formerly a professor of finance with a focus on futures, options, and speculative markets. He is looking to engage in a dialogue on global economic and finance issues to enhance our understanding of markets.
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