One of the key reasons for the
gain of large cap stocks in the US has been their focus on international sales.
For many of the largest companies in the US, international business has become
a majority of their sales and the place where they have seen their major growth. This
has pushed them higher relative to mid and smaller cap stocks. Large cap stocks
will also do well when in an environment that is seeing more regulation. The cost of
regulation can be covered over a larger base.
The data are showing that some
key companies that have been dependent on sales in the rest of the world
relative to the US are starting to see these gains deteriorate. Caterpillar is
one that is now seeing that their US growth is stronger than the rest of the
world. This will reduce the large cap advantage that has been present over the last two years. Watch the those global sales.
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