"Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views" focuses on current economic and finance issues, changes in market structure and the hedge fund industry as well as how to be a better decision-maker in the global macro investment space.
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Copper and the Chinese business cycle
Copper, as a base metal follows the long-term trend in the business cycles around the world. If you do not believe it, look at the Deutsche Bank chart from their commodity group. There was a not a strong correlation in the early 2000 period because the Chinese economy was smaller and their as build-up phase, but the recent leading indicators for China when overlaid with copper prices shows that as China slows so will copper.
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