“Certainty comes from believing we have learned all there is to know. Confidence comes from the effort to learn all we can." - Madeline Albright Always good to think about the certainty issue as we make predictions for 2024. We are not good predictors and we do not have certainty. Those that feel they have certainty are foolish. There is still a lot to learn about what may happen in 2024, and we will be surprised perhaps even in January. We can build our confidence, but research has shown that just because we have more information or facts does not mean that more confidence is warranted. Confidence is not always tied to more knowledge; however, less knowledge is a clear sign that we should be less confident. So let's start 2024 with healthy skepticism. |
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