Thursday, April 10, 2025

The stock market - It is not your normal distribution


The stock market is not your normal distribution, yet we often focus on normal return stats. For risk management, assume normality at your own peril. Market extremes usually come in clusters when there is a regime switch in volatility, which does not change the fact that outliers exist. You can windsorize to take out extremes; however, that does not change the risk. Yes, April has been an unusual month. 

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