The poor man's guide to market assessment from
Howard Marks. Rank order each factor from positive, neutral, or negative:
Economy: Vibrant Neutral Sluggish
Outlook: Positive Neutral Negative
Lenders: Eager Neutral Reticent
Capital markets: Loose Neutral Tight
Terms: Easy Neutral Restrictive
Interest Rates: Low Moderate High
Spreads: Narrow Moderate Wide
Investors: Optimistic Neutral Pessimistic
Equity Owners: Happy to hold Neutral Rushing for the exits
Equity Sellers: Few Moderate Many
Markets: Crowded Neutral Starved for attention
Funds: New Ones Daily Neutral Only the best can raise money
Recent Performance: Strong Moderate Weak
Equity Prices High Moderate Low
Respective Returns: Low Moderate High
Risk: High Moderate Low
Popular Qualities Aggressiveness Neutral Caution and discipline
This is an interesting test for market sentiment. Take each category and see whether it is vibrant or sluggish side or just neutral. Each can be given a score and can be used to determine the current environment.
Howard Marks. Rank order each factor from positive, neutral, or negative:
Economy: Vibrant Neutral Sluggish
Outlook: Positive Neutral Negative
Lenders: Eager Neutral Reticent
Capital markets: Loose Neutral Tight
Terms: Easy Neutral Restrictive
Interest Rates: Low Moderate High
Spreads: Narrow Moderate Wide
Investors: Optimistic Neutral Pessimistic
Equity Owners: Happy to hold Neutral Rushing for the exits
Equity Sellers: Few Moderate Many
Markets: Crowded Neutral Starved for attention
Funds: New Ones Daily Neutral Only the best can raise money
Recent Performance: Strong Moderate Weak
Equity Prices High Moderate Low
Respective Returns: Low Moderate High
Risk: High Moderate Low
Popular Qualities Aggressiveness Neutral Caution and discipline
This is an interesting test for market sentiment. Take each category and see whether it is vibrant or sluggish side or just neutral. Each can be given a score and can be used to determine the current environment.
No comments:
Post a Comment