The real trouble with the world of our is not that it is unreasonable world, nor even that it is a reasonable one. The commonest kind of trouble is that it is nearly reasonable, but not quite. Life is not an illogicality, yet it is a trap for logicians, It looks a little more mathematical and regular than it is, its exactitude is obvious, but its inexactitude is hidden, its wildness lies in wait.
This may be one of the best quotes on uncertainty. I found it in Dance with Chance. For the modeler, the problem is that there is not enough certainty in model structure and explanation. For the discretionary trader, story-telling just does not seem to fit the facts for any given event.
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