Copper, as a base metal follows the long-term trend in the business cycles around the world. If you do not believe it, look at the Deutsche Bank chart from their commodity group. There was a not a strong correlation in the early 2000 period because the Chinese economy was smaller and their as build-up phase, but the recent leading indicators for China when overlaid with copper prices shows that as China slows so will copper.
"Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views" focuses on current economic and finance issues, changes in market structure and the hedge fund industry as well as how to be a better decision-maker in the global macro investment space.
Thursday, July 22, 2010
Copper and the Chinese business cycle
Copper, as a base metal follows the long-term trend in the business cycles around the world. If you do not believe it, look at the Deutsche Bank chart from their commodity group. There was a not a strong correlation in the early 2000 period because the Chinese economy was smaller and their as build-up phase, but the recent leading indicators for China when overlaid with copper prices shows that as China slows so will copper.
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