Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Weak and strong hedge asset; weak and strong safe assets - A definition

 


It is important to get our definitions right, and there seems to be consensus on some simple ideas about what makes an asset a hedge or a safe asset. We can apply these definitions to an asset or to a strategy. 

A weak hedge asset - negative conditional correlation with another asset or portfolio.

A strong hedge asset - negative conditional correlation and positive coskewness with another asset or portfolio.

A weak safe asset - uncorrelation with another asset or portfolio during times of stress.

A strong safe asset - negative conditional correlation with another asset or portfolio during times of stress.

If you apply this definition to trend-following, it can be both a hedge and a safe asset. Gold is currently a safe asset. We can make some strong general statements on the characteristics of an asset or strategy.


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