Sunday, April 27, 2025

Adrian Day's six investing signs to watch



Adrian Day's six investing signs to watch for natural resource mining and extraction companies (from How to Listen When Markets Speak):

1. Underinvestment bias - Look for periods of underinvestment that could lead to shortages and higher prices 

2. Asset location - Diversify away from problem locations  

3. Production capacity - What is the capacity of reserves left

4. Price to free cash flow - Do not overpay for free cash flow 

5. Price to NAV - Do not overpay for ground reserves and the total value of assets 

6. Management - Look for stable long-term management that delivers on promises. 

Good, simple advice for making investments that can all be, to some degree, systematized. 

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