Money
management is all about the talent, yet there is little economic analysis of
human capital as an input in the creation of returns for the money management
industry. That gap in research has changed with the new paper, "On the Role of Human Capital in Investment
Management". This provocative paper studies over 10,000 RIA’s
across a number of years and asserts that more human capital may not help
return generation. Having more advisory personnel may help with attracting
assets. More investment advisor employees creates the appearance of more talent,
but having more bodies is more likely to generate behavior like a closet index
with less active shares and lower tracking error. They call it – money management
– and staff is needed for management and the gathering of assets. Investors just have to be careful
understanding why more staff is needed.
If we get
the conclusions of this paper straight, the extra employees provide window
dressing in order to create the appearance of more or better management. Firms
assume that investors like more staff and will choose those managers that have
advisor depth.
Reading
the paper in detail and reviewing the data leaves me with a lot of questions.
There is no issue that the authors were careful with looking at data, but the
complexity of the data and the econometric problems with the samples suggest
any bold conclusions should be tempered. Nevertheless, their conclusions make
intuitive sense and opens up some interesting questions for due
diligence.
The paper
also provides some interesting insights on the amount of talent applied to
different asset classes. For example, private equity seems to require more
talent than managing large cap equities.
If we
apply this to managed futures or other hedge fund strategies, is there an
optimal talent size? Many CTA's are small operations, are they properly
staffed? The conclusion that I draw is that a good investment processes and
philosophy are more important than the amount of staff associated with the
firm. More talent is likely to generate decisions by committee and lead to
closet index behavior. Don't count the investment staff. Study the process.
Don't be fooled by the number of bodies.
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