Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views

"Disciplined Systematic Global Macro Views" focuses on current economic and finance issues, changes in market structure and the hedge fund industry as well as how to be a better decision-maker in the global macro investment space.

Sunday, September 28, 2008

The cost of the bail-out will be massive

The cost of the bail-out will be massive as measured by the percent of GDP. The United States will be looking at close to 6% of GDP not including the Fannie and Freddie relief or the cost of the recent home owners bill which would total another $300 billion. This is also without the impact on potential GDP as the economy slows from its long-term growth of 3%.

On a relative basis, the cost of this bail-out will be cheap with the exception being Sweden which nationalized the banking system.If history is a guide, we can expect that the costs will keep rising. A $700 billion package may not be enough.
Mark Rzepczynski at 11:12:00 PM
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Mark Rzepczynski
Mark has over 25 years of market experience on both the buy and sell side of the markets. He was formerly a professor of finance with a focus on futures, options, and speculative markets. He is looking to engage in a dialogue on global economic and finance issues to enhance our understanding of markets.
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